Football Accumulator Tips: The Advanced Guide [Chapter 12]

Football Accumulator

I think you´ll agree with me when I say:

It´s very hard to turn a football accumulator into profits.

Or is it?

Well, what if I tell you that you can effectively increase your football accumulator profits by adding one simple strategy.

A strategy that generated me a 94% of net profits from all the football accumulators I placed in the 2015-2016 season.

And in this guide, I´m going to show you the three essential steps you need to know to get this goal:

  • What is a football accumulator or a football acca
  • Why shouldn´t you place football accumulators on favourites
  • Football accumulator wins: How a system generated me a 94% of net profit

So, let´s focus on the first step.

What is a Football Accumulator or a Football Acca?

Football Accumulators are the most popular type of bet on that sport and can reward you with some very lucrative odds. The bet is also a very difficult one to win with because just one team losing can wipe out your bet. Let’s look at this bet and ways in which you can increase your chance of winning.

Rather than betting on a single match result, a football accumulator sees you betting on more than one match result.

For example:

You may decide to bet on both Liverpool and Arsenal winning their next game. This is called a win double and both teams have to win for the bet to see a return.

If you bet on three teams winning that is called a treble, then you have four-folds, five-folds and so on.

A lot of football teams are priced up at short odds to win their games. If a side is 1.20 to win then there isn’t a great deal you can do with that as a single bet.

However if you include it in an accumulator then several short-priced teams can be put together to produce reasonably decent odds.

If you placed a win double on two teams, one priced at 1.20 (1/5) and the other at 1.33 (1/3), a win double returns odds of 1.6 (3/5) giving you 60p profit on every pound staked.

They are called accumulators because the money from one team goes onto the next.

For example:

That bet on Liverpool and Arsenal both winning their next game.

You decide to stake 20€ and the odds on Liverpool are 1.5 (1/2) and Arsenal even money.  If Liverpool win, you have 30€ going onto Arsenal (20€ at 1.5 (1/2) wins 10€ plus your stake money back). If Arsenal win your 30€ becomes 60€ (30€ wins 30€ plus your 30€ back). If Arsenal lose or draw then your bet is lost.

Don’t Be Too Greedy

The big danger with football accumulators is that you will go put too many teams in your bet. If you take a look at a football coupon there are so many matches to choose from, especially at the weekend. There are all the games in the UK and then coupons for matches all over the world.

Looking at the wide range of games that are about to be played, you may think it is easy to find a lot of games with short-priced favourites that will provide you with winners.

So it’s so tempting to keep adding teams to an accumulator in the belief that additional team is definitely going to win. Before you know it you have an eight or nine team accumulator.

The simple fact is that bookmakers love punters who place accumulators that involve a fair number of teams. The more teams you put in your accumulator, the higher the cumulative odds are.  Remember the higher the odds, the lower the probability of a bet winning.

For example:

You take a long look at the football coupon and spot six teams that you think will definitely win this weekend. Their odds are (1/5), (1/4), (1/3), (1/8), (1/9) and (1/2). Remember if you just placed a win single on the first team your odds of winning are 1-5 meaning a 20€ stake becomes 24€ so you have a very good chance of winning.

But you decide to place an accumulator so you have 24€ going onto the 1-4 shot. If all the six teams won then your 20€ would become 75€. That’s cumulative odds of 11-4. The more teams you add, the higher the odds become.

Say you now see a seventh team that you fancy winning and decide to add them to the accumulator. Their odds are evens, which means a winning eight-fold bet would turn 20€ into 150€, that’s odds of 13-2. Those winning odds will keep climbing and climbing the more teams you include in the accumulator and your chances of winning fall.

You don’t actually need to be putting loads of teams in an accumulator to see it returned at decent odds. If you’d just placed bets on the first three teams in your planned accumulator (1-5, 1-4, 1-3) and they all won, you’d have doubled your original stake and that’s nothing to complain about.

Don’t get too tempted by teams that are short-priced to win. Just because a side might be 1-10 to win a game that doesn’t necessarily mean they are going to win. I’ve lost count of the number of times the shortest priced team in my accumulator has been the one to let the bet down.

Ensuring A Return Even if You Back a Loser

There are bets you can place that can ensure a return on your stake even if not all of your teams are winning selections. If you use the permutation method this involves the placing of more bets and this can reduce your profits compared to a do or die accumulator.

But it means the chances are you will get something back from your bet even if one teams lets you down.

For example:

You could place four teams (Everton, Southampton, Derby County and Bournemouth) in a Lucky 15 bet. This involves four single bets, six doubles, four trebles and a four-fold.

Say you bet on four teams that are all priced up at even money. A 20€ accumulator would return 320€ if all four teams win. If one lets you down though you win nothing and your 20€ is lost.

So instead you decide to place a 1€ Lucky 15 using those four teams. This costs 15€ to place as it’s 15 1€ bets. If all four teams win then the Lucky 15 will pay four single wins (8€), six doubles (24€), four trebles (32€) and a four-fold (16€). That gives a return of 80€ which is only 65€ profit but the bonus with this bet is the return you get if one of more of your teams loses.

For example:

Three of the teams win but Bournemouth draw; let’s see what return your bet will give.

You will have three 1€ single bets that win giving you 6€. The three winning teams produce three winning 1€ doubles paying 12€. You also have a winning treble which turns 1€ into 8€.

So, despite one of your teams failing to win, the 15€ returns a total of 26€. That’s 11€ profit using this method rather than a 20€ loss using the win accumulator.

If only two of the teams won then you would still have two single bets and a win double. Your 15€ bet would return 8€. That’s a 7€ loss but still less than if you’d put a win accumulator on.  Even one team winning gets you a return of 2€.

There are plenty of bets like this and some give bonuses if all of your selections are winners.

Some bookmakers now offer you the chance to bet at reduced odds but you get a return if only one of your selections loses.

Cash Out

Some bookmakers offer you the chance to cash out on your bet before the game is over. If you have a four-team accumulator and the first three teams have won, you will have the chance to cash out at a profit. It won’t be the full profit you’d expect if all four teams won but if you have doubts on the final team then it might be an idea to play safe and cash out.

What Selections Should You Include?

It’s easy to think that you should just place several short-priced teams in an accumulator. But remember shocks happen and there’s a reason they are called coupon busters. Bookmakers love it when a team like Chelsea, Manchester City, Celtic or Bayern Munich fails to win.

They know lots of punters place bets on those teams and if one of them fails to win then lots and lots of bets will go down.

One idea with an accumulator is to include a team you think will win but aren’t at a ridiculously short price like 1-5.  One team that has odds of for example 6-4 that are placed in an accumulator can win you a lot of money.

For example:

You bet on Arsenal and Celtic who are 1-4 and 1-5 to win. A 20€ bet accumulates to 30€. The next team you bet on is priced at 1-3 so if all three teams win your initial 20€ returns 40€ which is even money.

However, if you placed a bet on a team priced up at 6-4 and they win, your initial 20€ bet returns 75€ which is cumulative odds of 11-4 (nearly 3-1).

Another good idea is not to place bets on too many teams. In the past I’ve placed several trebles and four-folds using around 10 teams. I can’t really expect all 10 teams to win so my bets will see a mix of wins and losses.

Loads of times it worked out that the bet with the highest cumulative odds but the lowest stake won while my most favoured bet went down. Betting can be so frustrating at times.

If you do place a number of accumulators don’t put one team in too many of the bets. If that one team loses then several bets go down.

Odds Comparison

There are so many different betting sites now all offering different odds. If you decide to go through all the sites available it’ll take you all day. So use an odds comparison site instead, for example oddschecker.

Place the teams you want to bet on in a selection box and the site will identify which bookmakers will offer the highest odds for that accumulator.

This is really important with accumulators because the odds can vary greatly especially if you are backing a large number of sides.

Once you understand the concept, it´s equally important, know which accumulators you should avoid.

Let´s go to the second step.

Why shouldn´t you place football accumulators on favourites

It´s a fact that many punters feel tempted to place their football accumulators on favourites because they think that bet on Real Madrid, Barça, Bayern München or Arsenal will give them easy and big profits.

The problem is that they don´t always win.

And I´m going to prove it to you simulating accumulators choosing the top 10 most performed teams from the 2015-2016 season.

Besides, I´ll make not one, but two separate simulations based on the two best football teams rankings in support of this proof: Whoscored and Euroclubindex.

Whoscored

The reason why I select whoscored is because they are a top football stats site and its provider is Opta Sports, a world leading sports data company.

In the screenshot below you´ll see the top 10 football teams that I´ll use as favourites according to Whoscored:

football accumulator 1

Next, I proceed to the simulation.

For the first simulation, I´ve made a total of 29 accumulators because these teams have played in the same game week 29 times over the 2015-2016 season.

Note: ACCA is the abbreviation of accumulator.

ACCA 1 22/8/2015ACCA 2 29/8/2015ACCA 312/9/2015
PARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINDraw
REAL MADRIDDrawREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWon
BARCELONAWonBARCELONAWonBARCELONAWon
BAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWon
ATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDLost
ARSENAL DrawARSENAL WonARSENAL Won
JUVENTUSLostJUVENTUSLostJUVENTUSDraw
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWon
LEICESTERDrawLEICESTERDrawLEICESTERWon
TOTTENHAMDrawTOTTENHAMDrawTOTTENHAMWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 4 19/9/2015ACCA 526/9/2015ACCA 63/10/2015
PARIS SAINT GERMAINDrawPARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINWon
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDDrawREAL MADRIDDraw
BARCELONAWonBARCELONAWonBARCELONALost
BAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWon
ATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDLostATLETICO DE MADRIDDraw
ARSENAL LostARSENAL WonARSENAL Won
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSLostJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDDrawBORUSSIA DORTMUNDLost
LEICESTERDrawLEICESTERLostLEICESTERWon
TOTTENHAMWonTOTTENHAMWonTOTTENHAMDraw
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 7 17/10/2015ACCA 8 24/10/2015ACCA 931/10/2015
PARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINWon
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWon
BARCELONAWonBARCELONAWonBARCELONAWon
BAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHDraw
ATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDDraw
ARSENAL WonARSENAL WonARSENAL Won
JUVENTUSDrawJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWon
LEICESTERDrawLEICESTERWonLEICESTERWon
TOTTENHAMDrawTOTTENHAMWonTOTTENHAMWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTWONRESULTLOST
ACCA 107/11/2015ACCA 11 21/11/2015ACCA 1228/11/2015
PARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINWon
REAL MADRIDLostREAL MADRIDLostREAL MADRIDWon
BARCELONAWonBARCELONAWonBARCELONAWon
BAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWon
ATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDWon
ARSENAL DrawARSENAL LostARSENAL Draw
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDLostBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWon
LEICESTERWonLEICESTERWonLEICESTERDraw
TOTTENHAMDrawTOTTENHAMWonTOTTENHAMDraw
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 13 5/12/2015ACCA 14 12/12/2015ACCA 15 19/12/2015
PARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINWon
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDLostREAL MADRIDWon
BARCELONADrawBARCELONADrawBARCELONAWon
BAYERN MUNICHLostBAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWon
ATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDLost
ARSENAL WonARSENAL WonARSENAL Won
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDLost
LEICESTERWonLEICESTERWonLEICESTERWon
TOTTENHAMDrawTOTTENHAMLostTOTTENHAMWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 16 23/1/2016ACCA 17 6/2/2016ACCA 18 13/2/2016
PARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINDraw
REAL MADRIDDrawREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWon
BARCELONAWonBARCELONAWonBARCELONAWon
BAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHDrawBAYERN MUNICHWon
ATLETICO DE MADRIDDrawATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDWon
ARSENAL LostARSENAL WonARSENAL Won
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDDrawBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWon
LEICESTERWonLEICESTERWonLEICESTERLost
TOTTENHAMWonTOTTENHAMWonTOTTENHAMWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 19 27/2/2016ACCA 20 5/3/2016ACCA 2112/3/2016
PARIS SAINT GERMAINLostPARIS SAINT GERMAINDrawPARIS SAINT GERMAINWon
REAL MADRIDLostREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWon
BARCELONAWonBARCELONAWonBARCELONAWon
BAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHDrawBAYERN MUNICHWon
ATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDWon
ARSENAL LostARSENAL DrawARSENAL Won
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDDrawBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWon
LEICESTERWonLEICESTERWonLEICESTERWon
TOTTENHAMWonTOTTENHAMDrawTOTTENHAMWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTWON
ACCA 22 19/3/2016ACCA 23 2/4/2016ACCA 24 9/4/2016
PARIS SAINT GERMAINLostPARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINWon
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWon
BARCELONADrawBARCELONALostBARCELONALost
BAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWon
ATLETICO DE MADRIDLostATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDWon
ARSENAL WonARSENAL WonARSENAL Draw
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDDraw
LEICESTERWonLEICESTERWonLEICESTERWon
TOTTENHAMWonTOTTENHAMDrawTOTTENHAMWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 25 16/4/2016ACCA 26 23/4/2016ACCA 27 30/4/2016
PARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINDrawPARIS SAINT GERMAINWon
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWon
BARCELONALostBARCELONAWonBARCELONAWon
BAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHDraw
ATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDWonATLETICO DE MADRIDWon
ARSENAL DrawARSENAL DrawARSENAL Won
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWon
LEICESTERDrawLEICESTERWonLEICESTERDraw
TOTTENHAMWonTOTTENHAMDrawTOTTENHAMDraw
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 28 7/5/2016ACCA 29 14/5/2016
PARIS SAINT GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT GERMAINWon
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWon
BARCELONAWonBARCELONAWon
BAYERN MUNICHWonBAYERN MUNICHWon
ATLETICO DE MADRIDLostATLETICO DE MADRIDWon
ARSENAL DrawARSENAL Won
JUVENTUSLostJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDLostBORUSSIA DORTMUNDDraw
LEICESTERWonLEICESTERDraw
TOTTENHAMLostTOTTENHAMLost
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOST

As you can see the results show only 2 accumulators won out of 29.

Considering that the odds for a 10 selections accumulator usually are around 10.0 these would be our profit/lose balance at the end of the season:

Accumulators won: 2 x 10 (Odds) = 200 €

Accumulators lost: 27 x 10€ = 270€

Total season´s balance: 200€ – 270€ = -90€

In this first simulation, the losses are 90€ after 29 accumulators.

Now, it´s the turn for the second simulation.

EUROCLUBINDEX

On this occasion, I choose the Euroclubindex´s football team ranking. Euroclubindex is a site powered by Gracenote, another big player in the sports data industry.

The screenshot below shows the top 10 teams I will use as favourites according to Euroclubindex:

football accumulator 2

In this second simulation, the 10 teams have played 27 times in the same game week over the season, resulting in a total of 27 accumulators.

ACCA 122/8/2015ACCA 229/8/2015ACCA 312/9/2015
FC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONAWon
REAL MADRIDDrawREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWon
BAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENWon
ATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDLost
PARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINDraw
JUVENTUSLostJUVENTUSLostJUVENTUSDraw
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWon
MANCHESTER CITYWonMANCHESTER CITYWonMANCHESTER CITYWon
ARSENALDrawARSENALWonARSENALWon
BENFICALostBENFICAWonBENFICAWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 419/9/2015ACCA 526/9/2015ACCA 63/10/2015
FC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONALost
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDDrawREAL MADRIDDraw
BAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENWon
ATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDLostATLÉTICO DE MADRIDDraw
PARIS SAINT-GERMAINDrawPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWon
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSLostJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDDrawBORUSSIA DORTMUNDLost
MANCHESTER CITYLostMANCHESTER CITYLostMANCHESTER CITYWon
ARSENALLostARSENALWonARSENALWon
BENFICALostBENFICAWonBENFICADraw
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 724/10/2015ACCA 831/10/2015ACCA 97/11/2015
FC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONAWon
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDLost
BAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENDrawBAYERN MÜNCHENWon
ATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDDrawATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWon
PARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWon
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWon
MANCHESTER CITYDrawMANCHESTER CITYWonMANCHESTER CITYDraw
ARSENALWonARSENALWonARSENALDraw
BENFICALostBENFICAWonBENFICAWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 1028/11/2015ACCA 115/12/2015ACCA 1212/12/2015
FC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONADrawFC BARCELONADraw
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDLost
BAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENLostBAYERN MÜNCHENWon
ATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWon
PARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWon
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWon
MANCHESTER CITYWonMANCHESTER CITYLostMANCHESTER CITYWon
ARSENALDrawARSENALWonARSENALWon
BENFICAWonBENFICAWonBENFICAWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 1319/12/2015ACCA 14 23/1/2016ACCA 156/2/2016
FC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONAWon
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDDrawREAL MADRIDWon
BAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENDraw
ATLÉTICO DE MADRIDLostATLÉTICO DE MADRIDDrawATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWon
PARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWon
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDLostBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDDraw
MANCHESTER CITYLostMANCHESTER CITYDrawMANCHESTER CITYLost
ARSENALWonARSENALLostARSENALWon
BENFICAWonBENFICAWonBENFICAWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 1613/2/2016ACCA 1727/2/2016ACCA 185/3/2016
FC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONAWon
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDLostREAL MADRIDWon
BAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENDraw
ATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWon
PARIS SAINT-GERMAINDrawPARIS SAINT-GERMAINLostPARIS SAINT-GERMAINDraw
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDDraw
MANCHESTER CITYLostMANCHESTER CITYDrawMANCHESTER CITYWon
ARSENALWonARSENALLostARSENALDraw
BENFICALostBENFICAWonBENFICAWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 1912/3/2016ACCA 2019/3/2016ACCA 212/4/2016
FC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONADrawFC BARCELONALost
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWon
BAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENWon
ATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDLostATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWon
PARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINLostPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWon
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWon
MANCHESTER CITYDrawMANCHESTER CITYLostMANCHESTER CITYWon
ARSENALWonARSENALWonARSENALWon
BENFICAWonBENFICAWonBENFICAWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 229/4/2016ACCA 2316/4/2016ACCA 2423/4/2016
FC BARCELONALostFC BARCELONALostFC BARCELONAWon
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWon
BAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENWon
ATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWon
PARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINDraw
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDDrawBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDWon
MANCHESTER CITYWonMANCHESTER CITYWonMANCHESTER CITYWon
ARSENALDrawARSENALDrawARSENALDraw
BENFICAWonBENFICAWonBENFICAWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 2530/4/2016ACCA 267/5/2016ACCA 2714/5/2016
FC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONAWonFC BARCELONAWon
REAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWonREAL MADRIDWon
BAYERN MÜNCHENDrawBAYERN MÜNCHENWonBAYERN MÜNCHENWon
ATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWonATLÉTICO DE MADRIDLostATLÉTICO DE MADRIDWon
PARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWonPARIS SAINT-GERMAINWon
JUVENTUSWonJUVENTUSLostJUVENTUSWon
BORUSSIA DORTMUNDWonBORUSSIA DORTMUNDLostBORUSSIA DORTMUNDDraw
MANCHESTER CITYLostMANCHESTER CITYDrawMANCHESTER CITYDraw
ARSENALWonARSENALDrawARSENALWon
BENFICAWonBENFICAWonBENFICAWon
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOSTRESULTLOST

But in this case, the results are even worst…

Accumulators won: 0 x 10 (odds) = 0€

Accumulators lost: 27 x 10€ = 270€

Total season´s balance: 0 – 270 = -270€

0 wins out of 27 accumulators generating a loss of 270 €.

Therefore, these two simulations clearly prove that place your football accumulator on favourites it´s a waste of time and money.

Ladies and Gentlemen the time has come at last, I´m going to show you what strategy generated me 94% of net profits in the last season (2015-2016).

Football Accumulator Wins: How a System generated me a 94 % of net profit.

If you want to find value in your accumulators, the first thing you need to do is choose the right football betting market.

How to do this?

It´s simple.

You just have to look for the most likely outcome in football which is two or more goals in a match and its equivalent football betting market is Over 1.5 goals.

The screenshot below from soccerstats illustrates precisely this fact:

over 1.5 goals market

As you can see Over 1.5 goals is the outcome with highest values.

Allthough you already know that Over 1.5 goals is the right choice you have to dig deeper and find out what matches have the highest probability to finish for Over 1.5 goals.

It may sound complex.

But it´s not.

To make this possible, I´ll use the “Value Formula” which it´ll help me select the best matches for Over 1.5 goals. If you want to learn how the “Value Formula” works just visit the chapter 6.

The good thing about this strategy is that you´ll have plenty of matches for your football accumulators but if you have to analyse the whole game week (Friday, Saturday and Sunday) it´s a lot of work, and you´ll probably end up overwhelmed.

That´s why I focus my football accumulators on Saturday because is the day where most leagues are in play which increases the chances to identify qualified matches, and you have all the week to prepare them.

On the other hand, you´ll see that I start to place accumulators on October.

Why?

Because I always prefer to compile data for the first 5 – 10 game weeks to analyse how the teams perform in the new season and then use this stats within the “Value Formula”, in this way the accuracy of the system will be better.

Now I´m going to show you the results I obtained using the “Value Formula” in the table below:

ACCA 117/10/2015 VALUE FORMULAACCA 224/10/2015 VALUE FORMULA
Toronto FC0 - 2Columbus Crew96.67 %Annan4 - 1Berwick98.33 %
Brentford2 - 1Rotherham95.83 %Mlada Boleslav4 - 1Slovacko93.89 %
Al Ahli Doha2 - 2Al-Kharitiyath95%Dunfermline4 - 0Forfar Athletic91.67 %
Club Tijuana0 - 2Club America93.89 %Al Dhafra2 - 3Emirates Club90.83 %
Forfar Athletic2 - 2Ayr93.33 %Bromley1 - 2Eastleigh90.83 %
Manchester City5 - 1Bournemouth92.5 %Stenhousemuir0 - 1Ayr90.55 %
B. Monchengladbach II1 - 0Verl92.5 %Dundee FC1 - 2Kilmarnock90.55 %
Schalke II0 - 0Wattenscheid91.67 %ASV Geel1 - 1Dessel90.55 %
Pahang1 - 4PKNS FC91.67 %Charlton0 - 3Brentford89.72 %
PSV1 - 1Excelsior91.39 %Havant & W3 - 3Cheltenham89.72 %
RESULTLOSTRESULT LOST
ACCA 331/10/2015 VALUE FORMULAACCA 4 7/11/2015 VALUE FORMULA
Hapoel Tel Aviv0 - 1Maccabi Tel Aviv92.5 %Furth II4 - 0Augsburg II95.83 %
Sporting Cristal1 - 1León de Huánuco92.5 %Achnas1 - 2Aris94.17 %
Cowdenbeath0 - 0Dunfermline92.5 %Deinze0 - 2Dessel94.17 %
Club Tijuana1 - 2U.N.A.M.- Pumas91.94 %Al Sailiya2 - 2Al Ahli Doha91.94 %
TNS2 - 0Haverfordwest91.39 %Stevenage3 - 0Gillingham FC90.56 %
Dessel3 - 1Heist91.39 %Podbrezova2 - 2Z. Moravce90%
Helsingborg1 - 2Hacken90.83 %Sol de America2 - 4Guarani89.72 %
Lekhwiya SC1 - 3Al Rayyan90.83 %Zlin2 - 1Slovacko89.44 %
Ventspils3 - 1FK Liepaja90.56 %Wolfsburg II2 - 0Cloppenburg89.17 %
Westerlo0 - 2Club Brugge90.56 %Weston0 - 3Concord88.89 %
RESULTLOSTRESULTWON
ACCA 514/11/2015 VALUE FORMULAACCA 621/11/2015 VALUE FORMULA
Annan1 - 0Berwick94.72 %Al Sharjah0 - 3Emirates Club97.5 %
Dessel2 - 0Virton93.89 %Aschaffenburg3 - 3Augsburg II96.67 %
Luton2 - 0Barnet89.17 %Stevenage0 - 0Luton94.17 %
Bragantino3 - 0Sampaio Correa88.89 %Gateshead1 - 4Halifax93.05 %
Portadown3 - 2C. Rangers88.06 %KSV Roeselare1 - 1Dessel92.5 %
Nantwich5 - 1Kings Lynn88.06 %Hearts1 - 1Dundee FC92.22 %
Santarcangelo0 - 1Lupa Roma88.06 %Shakhtar4 - 0Volyn Lutsk91.11 %
Gosport1 - 0Weston88.05 %Celtic0 - 0Kilmarnock90.56 %
Wiedenbruck2 - 2Wattenscheid88.05 %Memmingen3 - 1SpVgg Bayreuth90.55 %
Frome2 - 1Slough87.22 %Notts County1 - 2Northampton89.44 %
RESULTLOSTRESULT LOST
ACCA 728/11/2015 VALUE FORMULAACCA 85/12/2015 VALUE FORMULA
Al Dhafra0 - 0Al Sharjah94.17 %Cobresal3 - 1U. Espanola97.5 %
Amberg1 - 1Aschaffenburg93.33 %Halifax1 - 1Guiseley94.17 %
Doxa1 - 2Nea Salamis92.5 %Dundee FC0 - 2Aberdeen93.33 %
Coxyde2 - 4KSV Roeselare91.67 %Freiburg3 - 0Union Berlin93.05 %
Sturm Graz0 - 0Mattersburg89.72 %Arbroath2 - 4Cowdenbeath91.39 %
Guiseley2 - 0Bromley89.72 %Dep. La Coruna1 - 1Sevilla91.39 %
Toulouse2 - 0Nice89.44 %Toulouse2 - 3Lorient91.39 %
Sigma Olomouc2 - 0Slovacko88.89 %Zurich1 - 0Sion90.83 %
Aberdeen3 - 1Ross County88.89 %Leyton Orient0 - 0Scunthorpe89.72 %
Halifax4 - 2Dover Ath.88.06 %Elazigspor1 - 0Alanyaspor89.72 %
RESULTLOSTRESULT LOST
ACCA 912/12/2015 VALUE FORMULAACCA 1019/12/2015 VALUE FORMULA
Barcelona2 - 2Dep. La Coruna98.33 %Havant & W2 - 1Concord95.83 %
Colchester2 - 3Barnsley92.5 %Everton2 - 3Leicester95%
KSV Roeselare3 - 2Heist92.22 %Dep. La Coruna2 - 0Eibar94.17 %
Havant & W2 - 0Forest Green92.22 %ASV Geel4 - 3KSV Roeselare93.89 %
Aberdeen1 - 0Hearts91.67 %Aberystwyth4 - 0Bangor93.89 %
Fulham2 - 2Brentford90.56 %Brentford4 - 2Huddersfield93.33 %
Doxa1 - 1Achnas90.56 %Dundee FC4 - 0Hamilton92.5 %
Berwick2 - 3Elgin City90.55 %Oxford City0 - 2Hemel92.22 %
Antalyaspor3 - 2Mersin90%Heist4 - 1Virton91.39 %
Oxford City3 - 1Ebbsfleet88.33 %Carlisle3 - 0Notts County90%
RESULT LOSTRESULTWON
ACCA 1126/12/2015 VALUE FORMULAACCA 122/1/2016 VALUE FORMULA
Oxford City0 - 0Maidenhead95.83 %Al Rayyan2 - 1Al-Kharitiyath93.89 %
Lincoln City0 - 1Halifax92.5 %Dundee FC2 - 1Dundee Utd93.89 %
Ross County5 - 2Dundee FC90.55 %Carmarthen Town0 - 0Port Talbot93.06 %
Brentford0 - 0Brighton89.17 %Barnsley2 - 1Millwall91.39 %
Warrenpoint1 - 1C. Rangers88.89 %Montrose0 - 2Arbroath89.72 %
Swindon1 - 3Gillingham FC88.89 %St. Albans1 - 1Stortford88.33 %
Aberdeen2 - 2Inverness88.05 %Halifax2 - 2Lincoln City87.78 %
Southampton4 - 0Arsenal87.78 %Qatar SC1 - 2Lekhwiya SC86.95 %
Antalyaspor0 - 0Gaziantepspor87.5 %Exeter1 - 2Dagenham & Red.86.67 %
Glenavon1 - 0Portadown87.5 %Inverness2 - 0Ross County86.39 %
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 139/1/2016 VALUE FORMULAACCA 1416/1/2016 VALUE FORMULA
Montrose3 - 2East Stirlingshire93.33 %Deinze4 - 4Heist95.83 %
Wycombe1 - 1Aston Villa93.33 %Zwolle5 - 2Heerenveen95%
Club Tijuana1 - 1Pachuca92.5 %Peterborough0 - 0Southend94.17 %
Slavia Prague5 - 0Kolin90.55 %Huddersfield1 - 1Fulham93.06 %
Slavia Prague4 - 0Vlasim88.89 %Havant & W2 - 1Welling92.22 %
Everton2 - 0Dagenham & Red.88.05 %Leyton Orient1 - 3Exeter90.83 %
Arbroath2 - 3Elgin City87.78 %Chester4 - 0Hungerford89.72 %
Teramo0 - 0Pontedera87.78 %Real Sociedad1 - 1Dep. La Coruna88.89 %
Sutton5 - 0St. Albans87.5 %Connahs Q.2 - 0TNS88.89 %
Reims1 - 3Toulouse87.5 %Frydek-Mistek0 - 3Sigma Olomouc88.06 %
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 1523/1/2016 VALUE FORMULAACCA 1630/1/2016 VALUE FORMULA
Seraing Utd1 - 5Deinze92.5 %Hemel5 - 5Weston95%
Rayo Vallecano3 - 0Celta Vigo92.22 %Union Berlin5 - 0A. Salzburg93.89 %
Glentoran0 - 4Warrenpoint91.67 %Michalovce2 - 0Presov93.33 %
U. Sucre4 - 2Real Potosi90.56 %PSV4 - 2Graafschap91.39 %
Gillingham FC2 - 1Peterborough90.28 %Colchester1 - 4Tottenham89.44 %
B. Monchengladbach1 - 3Dortmund89.72 %Rotherham1 - 4Charlton89.17 %
Heist3 - 0Coxyde89.72 %Dundee FC2 - 2Motherwell88.89 %
Wycombe0 - 2Leyton Orient89.72 %East Stirlingshire0 - 3Arbroath88.06 %
Podbrezova5 - 1Presov88.89 %Margate1 - 1Stortford88.05 %
Corby1 - 2Gainsborough88.06 %Wellington Phoenix1 - 3Central Coast Mariners87.78 %
RESULT WONRESULTWON
ACCA 176/2/2016 VALUE FORMULAACCA 1813/2/2016 VALUE FORMULA
Cracovia2 - 0Michalovce95%Eastbourne Borough3 - 3Weston95.83 %
Virton0 - 0Deinze93.89 %Everton2 - 0S. Morning93.33 %
Young Boys1 - 1Grasshoppers92.5 %Maidenhead1 - 1Wealdstone91.67 %
Rayo Vallecano2 - 0Las Palmas91.39 %Corby2 - 0Tamworth91.39 %
Woking1 - 0Oxford City89.72 %Maritzburg Utd1 - 1Platinum Stars90.83 %
ASV Geel2 - 1St. Gilloise89.72 %Leczna0 - 0Piast Gliwice90.83 %
Grodig0 - 1Austria Vienna88.89 %Anderlecht3 - 0Waregem90.56 %
Montrose2 - 2East Fife88.89 %Deinze0 - 0ASV Geel89.72 %
Brisbane Roar4 - 0Central Coast Mariners88.89 %Connahs Q.2 - 3Llandudno89.72 %
Hibernians2 - 1Sliema88.33 %Annan3 - 3Montrose89.17 %
RESULT LOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 1920/2/2016 VALUE FORMULAACCA 2027/2/2016 VALUE FORMULA
Pribram0 - 1Slovacko94.72 %Regensburg3 - 2Augsburg II95.83 %
Weston1 - 2Wealdstone94.17 %Weston0 - 3Chelmsford95%
Trencin5 - 1Znojmo93.33 %Freiburg2 - 0Kaiserslautern93.33 %
East Stirlingshire0 - 1Annan92.5 %Maidenhead2 - 0Eastbourne Borough91.39 %
Chelmsford2 - 3Margate92.5 %Nantwich2 - 1Dover Ath.89.72 %
Geylang1 - 1Brunei DPMM92.22 %RB Leipzig II4 - 2Neustrelitz89.17 %
Newtown1 - 1Llandudno90.83 %PSV2 - 0Den Haag88.89 %
Espanyol1 - 0Dep. La Coruna90.83 %Wealdstone4 - 4Basingstoke88.06 %
Celta Vigo3 - 2Eibar89.17 %BFC Dynamo2 - 0Auerbach88.05 %
Las Palmas1 - 2Barcelona88.89 %Goslarer3 - 0St. Pauli II87.78 %
RESULTLOSTRESULT WON
ACCA 215/3/2016 VALUE FORMULAACCA 2212/3/2016 VALUE FORMULA
Maidenhead3 - 1Margate93.89 %Eintracht Trier3 - 0FC 08 Homburg93.89 %
B. Monchengladbach II4 - 0Kray93.33 %Cracovia1 - 2Legia93.33 %
Carmarthen Town0 - 1Bangor93.05 %Dartford2 - 4Whitehawk93.33 %
Melbourne City3 - 0Sydney FC92.5 %U. Catolica2 - 1Antofagasta92.5 %
Club Tijuana0 - 0Club Leon92.22 %Rayo Vallecano1 - 1Eibar91.11 %
Worcester0 - 0United of Manchester91.67 %Bayern Munich5 - 0Werder Bremen90.55 %
Manchester City4 - 0Aston Villa91.67 %Furth II4 - 0Rain/Lech90.55 %
Weston2 - 1Dartford91.67 %Viktoria Berlin2 - 1Auerbach90%
Meuselwitz1 - 0Schonberg89.72 %Sutton0 - 0Weston90%
Kortrijk1 - 0Waregem89.72 %Goslarer1 - 1Lubeck89.72 %
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 2319/3/2016 VALUE FORMULAACCA 2426/3/2016 VALUE FORMULA
Auerbach0 - 1RB Leipzig II94.17 %Wealdstone4 - 1Margate94.72 %
Granada CF2 - 2Rayo Vallecano93.05 %Aschaffenburg1 - 0Rain/Lech93.05 %
Sime Darby0 - 4PKNS FC92.22 %Reichenau0 - 1Neumarkt89.72 %
FC 08 Homburg0 - 1Steinbach92.22 %Corby0 - 0Hednesford89.44 %
Oxford City3 - 2Wealdstone92.22 %Union Gurten1 - 4Kalsdorf87.22 %
Amberg0 - 2Augsburg II91.39 %Montrose0 - 5Annan86.94 %
Foggia4 - 2Ischia91.39 %Brisbane Roar3 - 2Sydney FC85.56 %
Club America2 - 1Club Leon89.72 %Amberg0 - 1Unterhaching85.28 %
Antofagasta2 - 3Deportes Iquique88.89 %Walldorf5 - 0Neckarelz83.89 %
Pembroke1 - 1Hibernians88.89 %Molde2 - 1Hodd83.61 %
RESULT LOSTRESULT LOST
ACCA 252/4/2016 VALUE FORMULAACCA 269/4/2016 VALUE FORMULA
Ritzing3 - 1Rapid Vienna (Am)95%Floriana2 - 0Valletta90.55 %
Barcelona1 - 2Real Madrid93.89 %Al Wahda0 - 0Emirates Club90%
Magallanes3 - 3S. Morning92.22 %Union Gurten1 - 4BW Linz89.72 %
Balzan1 - 0St. Andrews90.83 %Maidstone1 - 2Dartford89.17 %
Valletta2 - 0Tarxien90.56 %Casertana1 - 2Foggia88.89 %
Chonburi3 - 0Osotsapa90.56 %Everton0 - 1Barnechea88.61 %
Alianza Atl.2 - 2Defensor La Bocana90.55 %La Guaira1 - 1Dep. Anzoategui88.33 %
Weston1 - 0Margate90.28 %Niedercorn0 - 1Fola88.06 %
Ural1 - 0Ufa89.72 %H. Beer Sheva1 - 1Maccabi Haifa88.05 %
Cracovia0 - 0Leczna89.72 %Real Madrid4 - 0Eibar87.78 %
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 2716/4/2016 VALUE FORMULAACCA 2823/4/2016 VALUE FORMULA
Real Potosi4 - 0Blooming95%Sturm Graz (Am)1 - 1AC Wolfsberger (Am)96.67 %
Cobh Ramblers2 - 2Athlone91.67 %Linfield4 - 0Cliftonville96.67 %
Bregenz3 - 1Salzburg (Am)91.39 %Rayo Vallecano2 - 3Real Madrid95.55 %
Werder Bremen3 - 2Wolfsburg90.56 %Auckland City3 - 0Team Wellington95%
Dartford0 - 0Basingstoke89.72 %Stadl Paura3 - 0Vorwarts Steyr94.17 %
Floriana2 - 3Pembroke89.72 %Lincoln Red Imps6 - 2Manchester 6293.33 %
Port Talbot1 - 1Bangor89.72 %St. Andrews3 - 1Naxxar Lions93.05 %
Pojorata1 - 0Berceni89.17 %Institute1 - 2Ards92.22 %
Vorwarts Steyr2 - 1SC Weiz89.17 %Dartford2 - 2Oxford City91.39 %
Exeter0 - 0Northampton88.89 %Bani Yas3 - 2Al Sharjah90.83 %
RESULT LOSTRESULT WON
ACCA 2930/4/2016 VALUE FORMULAACCA 307/5/2016 VALUE FORMULA
Oxford City0 - 1Sutton95%Thun2 - 2St. Gallen94.17 %
Shkendija3 - 0Bregalnica Stip94.72 %Newtown1 - 2Airbus94.17 %
Johor DT3 - 1Kedah94.17 %Morecambe1 - 1York94.17 %
Brentford3 - 0Fulham93.33 %Huddersfield1 - 5Brentford90.83 %
Limerick7 - 2Waterford92.5 %Wil2 - 1Winterthur89.72 %
San Jose0 - 0Blooming91.67 %Seekirchen2 - 2Kitzbuhel88.89 %
Fola3 - 1Dudelange91.39 %Hamburger SV0 - 1Wolfsburg88.89 %
SV Wallern2 - 4Union Gurten91.39 %Lotte3 - 0B. Monchengladbach II88.89 %
Ritzing0 - 0Neusiedl91.11 %Lyon6 - 1Monaco88.89 %
Nacional Asuncion0 - 1Deportivo Capiata90.55 %Apollon1 - 0APOEL88.33 %
RESULTLOSTRESULTLOST
ACCA 3114/5/2016 VALUE FORMULA
Sparta Prague5 - 0Jihlava93.05 %
Johor DT2 - 1PKNS FC92.22 %
Rapid Suceava3 - 1Pojorata91.39 %
Ahlen0 - 0Lotte91.39 %
Granada CF0 - 3Barcelona90.55 %
Victoria Rosport0 - 1Grevenmacher90%
Eugendorf2 - 3Bregenz89.72 %
Ostrava1 - 2Brno89.72 %
Monaco2 - 0Montpellier89.17 %
Hannover II1 - 1St. Pauli II88.06 %
RESULT LOST

After 31 accumulators I won 6. Let´s see the numbers considering that I placed 10€ on each one, and the Odds for a 10 selections accumulator are around 10:

Accumulators won: 6 x 10 (Odds) = 600€

Accumulators lost: 25 x 10€ = 250€

Total season´s net profit/loss: 600 – 310 = 290€

Well, well, well.

That looks better!

So investing 310€ the system generated 600€, in other words, 94% of net profits.

Having said that, maybe 290€ profit in one season is not much for you but keep in mind that I just placed 10€ every Saturday.

290€ just for one football market.

If you keep learning from the other chapters of the football betting guide you´ll increase your profits significantly.

Conclusion

Football accumulators can be very lucrative, but you need to take the advice given above. Focus on Over 1.5 goals market with 10 selections per accumulator using the “Value Formula”, and avoid at all costs favourites.