Starting Price vs Best Odds Guaranteed: Which Price Your Horse Bet Gets

By the Bet at editorial teamUpdated 18+ · T&Cs apply to all offers

On this page
  1. How the Starting Price Is Formed on Course
  2. Early Price versus SP: The Bettor’s Choice
  3. How Best Odds Guaranteed Works
  4. The Conditions Bookmakers Attach
  5. Frequently Asked

How we compare sitesAffiliate links: we may earn a commission18+ onlyUKGC-licensed operators

Bookmakers' pitches in the betting ring at Musselburgh racecourse
Photo: www.theedinburghblog.co.uk / Flickr, CC BY 2.0

A horse bet can settle at one of two numbers: the fixed early price you took when placing the bet, or the official starting price returned at the moment the stalls open. Best Odds Guaranteed — BOG — is the concession that pays you whichever is higher when the starting price is bigger. Without it, a late drift is just lost value.

That sounds straightforward. The detail sits in how the starting price is actually formed, the choice between locking in a price and letting the bet ride to the off, and the list of conditions bookmakers attach to the guarantee.

How the Starting Price Is Formed on Course

The starting price, or SP, is not a figure a bookmaker invents at the last second. It is the official price available to bettors at the off of each race, compiled from the real on-course market. Responsibility for the integrity and accuracy of that price rests with the Starting Price Regulatory Commission, an independent body that oversees the whole process.

The SPRC sets the parameters within which the SP is calculated. It does not return the price itself but makes sure the licensed bookmakers and SP validators operate inside a defined framework. According to the Commission, the SP is based on the prices offered by a sample of on-course bookmakers, which means it reflects the balance of money and opinion among the layers standing in the ring. On-course bookmakers mark up their boards moment by moment; when the race goes off, a snapshot of those prices is taken and turned into the official return.

That return is what settles bets on British horseracing struck with licensed bookmakers in betting shops or through their websites. The SPRC was reviewing and updating its permanent arrangements, with new procedures due to come into effect from 1 May 2022. The exact step-by-step calculation has not been published in detail. What is clear is that the result is a price laid on the whole market at the moment the gates open.

Early Price versus SP: The Bettor’s Choice

The decision a punter faces is whether to take an advertised early price or wait for SP. Taking a price as early as the night before or first thing in the morning fixes a known number. That number stays regardless of later market moves. If the horse shortens from 6/1 to 3/1, the bettor still gets 6/1.

Waiting means the bet settles at SP. The SP is the price available at the off, by which time the money has spoken and the early value may have vanished — or the horse may have drifted. In a thin market, a single large wager can compress a price sharply; a negative stable rumour can push it the other way. A bettor who waits is betting that the price will not move against them and may, in fact, drift to a bigger number. That is the gamble the guarantee addresses.

Bets placed without a selected price always settle at SP. That is the default.

How Best Odds Guaranteed Works

Best Odds Guaranteed is the bookmaker’s promise that if the SP ends up bigger than the price taken, the bettor collects at the bigger price. If the SP is smaller, the original early price stands. Sky Bet states the rule plainly: if the starting price is bigger than the price taken, you get the bigger price. The concession covers a span of hours. William Hill says BOG is available from 8 AM on the day of the race until the off. Bets placed before that cut-off settle at the price taken, or at SP if no price was taken.

In practice, a punter who backs a horse at 4/1 early on race day and watches the horse drift to an SP of 6/1 will be paid out at 6/1. If the price collapses to 2/1, the 4/1 ticket still holds. The guarantee is a one-way protection against the drifting market. It applies to singles and multiples on win or each-way markets, as Paddy Power’s terms confirm, though the range of eligible bet types is limited.

Financial caps exist. Sky Bet sets a maximum increase per bet or per race for horse racing. There is a ceiling on how much extra the concession will ever deliver on a single slip.

The Conditions Bookmakers Attach

BOG is not a universal right. Several restrictions narrow when and how it operates. The most immediate is timing. As William Hill’s terms specify, the guarantee only activates from 8 AM on the day of the race. A bet struck at 7:45 AM is settled solely at the price taken. For punters who prefer to place their bets the night before, the early price is all they have.

Opt-in is another hurdle. William Hill requires customers to activate the “Best Odds Guaranteed – Opt In” feature. A punter who has not toggled it on will not receive the benefit, even if the SP drifts. That small administrative step can separate a full payout from a lower one.

Geographic and race-type exclusions apply. Paddy Power states that BOG does not cover international racing. Sky Bet limits the offer to UK and Irish horse racing unless it says otherwise. Bettors outside the UK or Ireland are also excluded from Paddy Power’s version. The list of ineligible bet varieties at Paddy Power is long: ante-post bets, in-running bets, combined horse bets, forecast bets, place-only bets, betting-without markets, money-back bets, Power Price selections, Power Up bets, free bets, partial free bets, and Money Back Token bets are all outside the guarantee.

Then there are the daily limits. William Hill caps the additional benefit received from BOG at £25,000 per customer per calendar day. A punter with multiple large bets on a single afternoon could hit that ceiling quickly.

Because conditions vary by operator, checking the specific bookmaker’s terms before placing the bet is the only reliable safeguard.

Frequently Asked

When does the starting price win?

The SP wins whenever it is bigger than the price taken. Under Best Odds Guaranteed, the settlement price becomes that larger figure. Without a guarantee, the bettor receives the price taken, and the drift is a loss of potential return. If no price was selected at all, the bet settles at SP regardless.

When is an early price the better move?

An early price is better when the market subsequently shortens. A horse backed at 5/1 that starts at 2/1 pays at 5/1 under the guarantee but would pay only 2/1 to someone who bet at SP. The early price also provides certainty for a bettor who cannot follow the late moves and wants to lock in a value opinion without trusting the guarantee to capture the best of both worlds.

Why does Best Odds Guaranteed matter in practice?

It removes the cost of being wrong about which way the market will move. Before BOG became widespread, a punter who took an early 4/1 and saw the horse drift to 8/1 simply lost the extra 4/1 return. BOG lets the same bettor benefit from the drift as if he had waited, while keeping the upside of the early price if the horse shortens. The practical effect is that from 8 AM onward, there is no penalty for betting early on a horse that later weakens in the market.

The practical rule is this: an early price is worth taking when a punter wants a cast-iron number and fears a shortening market. Best Odds Guaranteed makes that decision safer by ensuring that a drift does not leave the bettor holding the worse of two possible payouts.

More from the blog